Trump and a full-blown crisis of succession

It is increasingly obvious that Trump views democratic institutions the same way he does people: relevant as long as they serve his fickle purposes. Faced with the growing likelihood that he will lose the election, Trump has responded by attacking the integrity of the voting system and refusing to commit to stepping down should he lose.

In this piece for The Economist Lawrence Douglas paints the terrifyingly plausible series of steps Trump could take from election day to engineer a “full-blown crisis of succession.” Here is one ominous passage:

The new Congress—sworn in just three days earlier, on January 3rd—confronts an astonishing situation: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin have each submitted conflicting electoral certificates. The election hangs in the balance.

Please do read the whole thing.

Constitutional Crisis

America has ordered a cocktail and Trump is behind the bar. An election, a Supreme Court nomination, and a pandemic are being shaken, stirred, and poured at a time when roaming groups of armed men are an increasingly normal sight. The prospect is leading to increasingly dire predictions for the future of the US. A repeat of Bush’s 2000 victory, which came down to a Supreme Court decision, could be literally explosive today.

Edward Luce’s long read in the FT is a wonderful overview of the possibilities ahead. Please do read the whole thing. A passage I found interesting:

Pessimism about America’s future is in vogue, but while Luce is accurate about the short-term politics, I am cautious with simplistic accounts of American decline. Whatever America’s domestic problems, it is still far and away the world’s most powerful military and financial power. Its economic position has been eroding since WW2 but is still formidable. It borders no threatening states (unlike the Ottomans) and is technologically advanced. Declinists must square this with today’s turmoil.